The point at which a computer is smarter than humans and can improve itself, so soon after it will accomplish a very superior intelligence.
Options:
- Ten year increments: 2020, 2030, 2040…
- Never
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Human intelligence has a defect that makes it impossible for it to understand the phenomenon of intelligence well enough that it can duplicate it artificially. Think of it as a “blind spot in the retina”.
If any machine intelligences are born, they will be emergent intelligences, quite accidental. Probably also downright psychotic. Hopefully the probability is low.
I suspect that, were we to know and understand the fundamental principles of intelligence, hardware from the 1980s might suffice.
Never
2430
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