• FlowVoid@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    He said Trump had a 28% chance of winning, and Trump won. So he was also “right.” Do you see now why what you’re saying is incorrect?

    Suppose I said Trump had a 72% chance of winning the same election, which Trump won. Am I also “right”?

    If so, how can it be that Trump has a 28% chance of winning and a 72% chance of winning?

    If not, why is he right instead of me?