CNN ā€”

Donald Trump continues to hold an advantage over President Joe Biden as the campaign ā€“ and the former presidentā€™s criminal trial ā€“ move forward, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. And in the coming rematch, opinions about the first term of each man vying for a second four years in the White House now appear to work in Trumpā€™s favor, with most Americans saying that, looking back, Trumpā€™s term as president was a success, while a broad majority says Bidenā€™s has so far been a failure.

Trumpā€™s support in the poll among registered voters holds steady at 49% in a head-to-head matchup against Biden, the same as in CNNā€™s last national poll on the race in January, while Bidenā€™s stands at 43%, not significantly different from Januaryā€™s 45%.

Looking back, 55% of all Americans now say they see Trumpā€™s presidency as a success, while 44% see it as a failure. In a January 2021 poll taken just before Trump left office and days after the January 6 attack on the US Capitol, 55% considered his time as president a failure.

Assessing Bidenā€™s time in office so far, 61% say his presidency thus far has been a failure, while 39% say itā€™s been a success. Thatā€™s narrowly worse than the 57% who called the first year of his administration a failure in January 2022, with 41% calling it a success.

Republicans now are more unified around the idea that Trumpā€™s presidency was a success than Democrats are that Bidenā€™s has been one. Overall, 92% of Republicans call Trumpā€™s time in office a success, while just 73% of Democrats say Bidenā€™s has been a success so far. Among independents, 51% say Trumpā€™s presidency was successful, while only 37% see Bidenā€™s as a success.

There is some overlap in views of the two most recent presidentsā€™ achievements, with 14% of Americans saying they consider both are failures, while 8% say both are successes. About half of registered voters, 47%, consider Bidenā€™s presidency thus far to be a failure while saying Trumpā€™s was a success, while only 30% say Bidenā€™s has been successful and that Trumpā€™s was not. Public opinion of former presidents generally rises in retrospect, although no other modern president has attempted a similar return to power after an electoral loss.

Negative views of Bidenā€™s work in office have held for much of his presidency. In the new poll, 60% disapprove of his handling of the job and 40% approve, about the same as itā€™s been in CNN polling for more than a year. Even Bidenā€™s strongest issue approval ratings in the poll are also in negative territory, with 45% approving of his handling of health care policy and 44% approving his handling of student loan debt. And his worst issue approval rating ā€“ for his handling of the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza ā€“ yields 28% approval to 71% disapproval, including an 81% disapproval mark among those younger than 35 and majority disapproval among Democrats (53%).

more at the linkā€¦

  • treefrog@lemm.ee
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    2 months ago

    CNN didnā€™t poll all Americans so they can fuck off with that shit.

    • Hyperreality@kbin.social
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      2 months ago

      You donā€™t need to poll everyone to get relatively accurate polling results.

      I have a related degree, it is possible with the necessary caveats, margins of error and confidence intervals. Statistics is a wonderful thing.

      This being said, I actually read the full 77 page document they linked to, and if Iā€™m not mistaken the 55% comes from a 2021 telephone poll. Obviously phone only polls are likely to be biased, even if you correct for demographic factors like age.

      Then again, inflation is a problem.

      • criitz@reddthat.com
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        2 months ago

        Textbook statistics donā€™t really hold when you have a huge selection bias, as just about any poll does.

        • Hyperreality@kbin.social
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          2 months ago

          Textbook statistics donā€™t really hold when you have a huge selection bias, as just about any poll does.

          Meh. Often quite accurate, if you read the small print and caveats. Itā€™s not 1980. Good pollsters donā€™t just do landline surveys, they correct for demographic factors, and are transparent about flaws and limitations.

          IME the problem is usually how the media reports on said polling.