'Prediction markets are places where people have money on the line, skin in the game,' says Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi, an election betting site. 'People don't lie with their money.'
I posted about it over in !msp@midwest.social, but I don’t think that betting markets are better predictors, because “true believers” can make them irrational:
I posted about it over in !msp@midwest.social, but I don’t think that betting markets are better predictors, because “true believers” can make them irrational:
https://midwest.social/post/18602392