https://xcancel.com/PeterHotez/status/1873162034201960946
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A Bluesky post
So we are screwed?
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It was ment as a fun post, but as some people are genuinely scared. H5N1 is nasty BUT human infection is EXTREMELY rare. There have been less than 1k cases in 20y. You are 80 times more likely to die from lightning strike. If you don’t carry lightning rod around you should not worry.
https://subium.com/profile/volberg.bsky.social/post/3lf5uqfukze2u
Bluesky is funny. The libs are always so excited to shit on Trump - they didn’t even shit on the OP and he really deserves it. He’s impervious to knowledge and reason.
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Peter Jay Hotez (born May 5, 1958) is an American scientist, pediatrician, and advocate in the fields of global health, vaccinology, and neglected tropical disease control. He serves as founding dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine, Professor of Pediatrics and Molecular Virology & Microbiology at Baylor College of Medicine, where he is also Director of the Texas Children’s Hospital Center for Vaccine Development and Endowed Chair in Tropical Pediatrics. He also serves as a University Professor of Biology at Baylor University.
been preparing 20 years (unlike when COVID began)
Motherfucker I lived through two global respiratory outbreaks brought on by coronavirii before COVID what the fuck do you mean you weren’t preparing for another one
You are 80 times more likely to die from lightning strike. If you don’t carry lightning rod around you should not worry.
Yo dawg, lightning doesn’t mutate to become better at hitting me.
I replied to him saying basically the same thing. Plus I linked to a Scientific American article on bird flu mutations. He quickly muted me.
Yeah and I was infinity times more likely to die of lightning than covid… before it started spreading amongst humans, what the fuck kind of logic is this bullshit?
Shut the fuck up and cope in private loser
good thing capitalist governments, especially far right ones like the trump admin, would never do those 3 things
thats not a how probability works there are other distributions not everything is uniform aaaaaaaa
It was ment as a fun post, but as some people are genuinely scared. H5N1 is nasty BUT human infection is EXTREMELY rare. There have been less than 1k cases in 20y. You are 80 times more likely to die from lightning strike. If you don’t carry lightning rod around you should not worry.
The pinnacle of
There is reason to feel fucking anxiety about this. We will be LUCKY if the mild strain that passed through cows starts spreading and inoculating us against this virus as the strain that tends to infect directly from birds has a FIFTY PERCENT mortality rate. Five Zero Percent. Half of the people who got that shit fucking died and most of the rest had permanent debilitating long-term outcomes.
When I think about what steps we would take in America to handle such a disease I get real goddamn nervous. I honestly don’t think our government will do more for us than they did for COVID at a 3% mortality rate, which was damned near nothing.
That’s also a 50% survival rate when cases are relatively rare, I don’t know what the fatality rate would be if it’s a widespread pandemic overloading hospitals and streaching resources.
YES! For the ones that survived they almost all, to the last, required weeks long medical care in a medical facility of some sort.
Worse case scenario for this is like COVID where 95% of people must be in hospital for weeks and only half survive.
The likelihood we get worse case scenario is very low, so please don’t doom scroll on me. However, I think people saying, “oh, this is nothing to worry about,” are really misleading. State the reality of the worst case scenario and then state why a mutation like that is extremely unlikely to be that virile while also being highly contagious at the same time. The two generally do not go hand in hand and experts on this particular virus know the details on why this or that mutation for acuteness of infection might inversely affect how contagious it is.
Strong feeling that number drops to 0% as the people saving lives start dropping like flies. I recommend everyone talk to their nurses about their feelings on PPE and how COVID was handled. You’ll find a lot wte fucking insane and would cause the hospitals to collapse and die from something like this.
Imagine the US has a surprisingly large number of “isolated” cases of bird flu and the experts are still try to pacify us.
I had a iffy situation like I badly cut my hand slicing a bagel - I’d do self-diagnosis even though I have zero medical training. Instead of me just going to the ER - I’d do my best to answer the tricky question: “Can I avoid going to the ER?” It seems to me any hospital in the US from the smallest to the largest could potentially be ground zero for that plague. And anybody in that hospital from a clueless patient to a doctor who should really know better could be a carrier.
What worries me is viral recombination.
The mild strain and the more severe strain can infect the same animal and recombine into a totally new strain with traits from both of its components. The flu is especially notworthy for being a virus that uses recombination to evolve. And why stop there? An animal infected with bird flu and the current dominant seasonal flu strain can also produce a new strain from their recombination!
Maybe, maybe not. We’d need a virologist who has studied this virus to be able to determine if that is possible. The two mutations may be in regards to the same protein, for instance, in such a way that they may not be able to recombine in such a way that they both work.
Wait does that mean I should be drinking the raw milk to inoculate myself?
It’s actually recommended that you use a syringe to inject the milk up your urethra.
Im way ahead of the times!
inoculate myself
against veganism?
Five or zero percent. Got it.
I gotta get out of here
make a five-year plan to leave, figure out what it takes. imagine what this nation of treat demons will do after three days of empty grocery shelves
imagine what this nation of treat demons will do after three days of empty grocery shelves
That reminds me of a scene from “Three Days Of The Condor”. I’m using the spoiler tag because the spoiler total ruins the movie. The movie is fantastic and if you haven’t seen it - you should. You = Anybody
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Three Days of the Condor (1975)
A bookish CIA researcher in Manhattan finds all his co-workers dead, and must outwit those responsible until he figures out who he can really trust.
Director: Sydney Pollack
Stars: Robert Redford, Faye Dunaway, Cliff RobertsonI found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy:
Carnists will turn to justifying cannibalism the moment the steaks run out
Bad news: it’s global. There is no way out
Yeah but some places will handle it better than others
well it’s a good thing those 3 things are unlikely to happen and esp so given we don’t have a pandemic in recent memory where all 3 of those were an issue!
In 2019 “Coronavirus infection is extremely rare in humans, you are more likely to die from a lightning strike!”
(It’s worth noting the doctor was not the one with this dumbass take)
