Yeah, we know Bill Parcells said “You are what your record says you are.”

But which to teams do you feel are not what their record says they are?

Better than record: Cardinals only because Kyler Murray is back

Worse than record: Steelers whose luck will run out any week now. Right guys? Any week now.

  • SaintArkweather@alien.topBEnglish
    1·
    10 months ago

    Yeah, point differential is useful in the short term to identify “pretenders” but at some point if a team is constantly winning close games it indicates they are simply good at finding ways to win. The chances of flipping heads 64+ times in 95 flips is 0.0462% or 1 in 2163.

    I don’t think the Steelers are destined for the Super Bowl, but I do think their close game victories are more than just dumb luck.

    • groundhogdaylow@alien.topBEnglish
      1·
      10 months ago

      I see the Steelers as just good enough to beat teams that are bad, mediocre, or teams the Steelers defensive scheme matches up well against but they are easy to expose if the other team has the right offence. Essential they play super low risk on offence (unless they get behind by 2 TDs) and focus the defence on the red zone and turnovers. It seems like they are getting lucky with turnovers but really they are letting bad/mediocre teams take risks which eventually lead to turnovers and they have monster OLBs that know how to cause turnovers. These turnovers often come at the end of the game because the pressure is at its highest and the other team needs to score at all costs meaning they will be likely take even more risks. On top of all that it is all the more effective when TJ Watt puts the fear of God into the opposing QB.