Hypothetical stats:

  • His current completion percentage is 67.1%. If every dropped ball had been caught, his completion percentage would be 74% which would be 4% better than any other starting QB (Brock Purdy at 70%) in the league.

  • If the Chiefs had the average amount of dropped balls (11) instead of the most (26), Mahomes completion percentage would be 71% for best in the league.

  • Killthemwithcuteness@alien.topB
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    10 months ago

    Isn’t this what happens when you get paid $50m a year? The salary cap has to come from somewhere. At least they have a decent O-line to protect him so he can wait, scramble and throw it to Kelce.

    Or maybe the drops is a reversion to the mean? His past receivers have made him look good ala Purdy /s

    • forward1213@alien.topB
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      10 months ago

      My first thought too. “Lets bump this guy up and compare him to this other guy, but not bump that guy up!”

  • OJSimpsons@alien.topB
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    10 months ago

    If you took all of Josh Allen’s incompletions and made them touchdowns instead, he would have 138 on the year (including the 22 passing touchdowns he already has) which would make him the clear front runner for MVP.

  • Pestuji@alien.topB
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    10 months ago

    So I think the only way these stats would matter much at all is if you calculated drops as a percentage of attempted passes for every team in the league and then used that average instead of the raw numbers. The Chiefs pass a lot. Then you’d have to adjust everyone’s stats toward the “expected” number of drops in order to compare them much at all.

    Of course, this stat is a bit too subjective to be super relevant anyway lol

  • giggity_giggity@alien.topB
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    10 months ago

    What is amazing to me about Mahomes is how effortless his throws look - even his long throws. Rodgers - as a counter example - always looked to me like he was exerting in his throws. But Mahomes looks like he is handing someone a grocery bag filled with popcorn - but really it was a dart thrown 40 yards down field.

  • SoKrat3s@alien.topB
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    10 months ago

    Adjusted by removing drops, spikes, and throwaways;

    Rank Player Adj QB Rat
    1 Brock Purdy 122.1
    2 Russell Wilson 114.9
    3 Tua Tagovailoa 113.0
    4 Kirk Cousins 111.9
    5 Dak Prescott 111.4
    6 C.J. Stroud 108.6
    7 Jared Goff 107.8
    8 Lamar Jackson 107.8
    9 Josh Allen 106.0
    10 Justin Herbert 105.3
    11 Jalen Hurts 104.2
    12 Patrick Mahomes 103.2
    13 Justin Fields 101.9
    14 Joe Burrow 99.8
    15 Will Levis 98.7
    16 Trevor Lawrence 98.0
    17 Derek Carr 97.8
    18 Geno Smith 97.7
    19 Baker Mayfield 97.5
    20 Sam Howell 96.7
    21 Deshaun Watson 94.0
    22 Gardner Minshew II 92.3
    23 Jordan Love 90.9
    24 Desmond Ridder 90.5
    25 Matthew Stafford 89.9
    26 Joshua Dobbs 89.5
    27 Kenny Pickett 85.4
    28 Mac Jones 85.3
    29 Bryce Young 83.7
    30 Zach Wilson 82.8
    31 Jimmy Garoppolo 82.4
    32 Ryan Tannehill 78.7
    33 Tyson Bagent 77.2
    34 Daniel Jones 76.6
    35 Aidan O’Connell 74.7

    ^(min: 100 att)