I was messing around with some adjusted passer ratings a few weeks ago and a lot of the responses wanted Rushing contributions to be included. So I came up with a new method to do so, combining the adjusted Passer Rating (Passer Rating without Drops, Spikes, Throwaways) with Rushing production. That produced what I call QB CPR.

^(Full disclosure: I am a 49ers fan, but I did not do this to overhype Purdy. He was not atop this list when I started (Cousins, Goff, & Stroud were 1, 2, & 3, respectively. Ignore my flair and you will still see differences like Goff, Wilson, and Mahomes vs their traditional rankings.))


CPR

Adjusted Rating for Combined Passing & Rushing

Rank Player CPR GP C-Yd C-TD C-TO C-YPA C-TD% C-TO%
1 Brock Purdy 117.3 10 2,783 20 7 9.1 6.6% 2.3%
2 Dak Prescott 110.6 10 2,745 21 6 7.4 5.7% 1.6%
3 Russell Wilson 107.4 10 2,297 19 7 6.8 5.6% 2.1%
4 Jared Goff 107.1 10 2,757 18 8 7.2 4.7% 2.1%
5 Tua Tagovailoa 106.4 10 2,973 21 11 8.0 5.6% 3.0%
6 Josh Allen 106.0 11 3,136 29 15 7.2 6.7% 3.4%
7 Justin Herbert 104.7 10 2,795 22 5 7.0 5.5% 1.2%
8 Kirk Cousins 104.5 8 2,356 18 9 7.2 5.5% 2.8%
9 C.J. Stroud 103.5 10 3,047 19 9 8.1 5.0% 2.4%
10 Jalen Hurts 102.3 10 2,842 24 12 6.7 5.6% 2.8%
11 Lamar Jackson 100.0 11 2,976 17 11 7.4 4.2% 2.7%
12 Patrick Mahomes 99.4 10 2,915 19 11 6.9 4.5% 2.6%
13 Joe Burrow 96.6 10 2,397 15 7 6.1 3.8% 1.8%
14 Sam Howell 95.7 11 3,247 20 14 6.8 4.2% 2.9%
15 Justin Fields 94.0 7 1,711 13 8 6.8 5.2% 3.2%
16 Baker Mayfield 93.7 10 2,528 15 7 6.5 3.8% 1.8%
17 Derek Carr 93.6 10 2,264 10 6 6.4 2.8% 1.7%
18 Geno Smith 93.4 10 2,469 12 9 6.9 3.4% 2.5%
19 Trevor Lawrence 93.2 10 2,622 13 10 6.9 3.4% 2.6%
20 Will Levis 91.7 4 872 6 3 6.4 4.4% 2.2%
21 Jordan Love 91.6 10 2,513 18 10 6.7 4.8% 2.7%
22 Deshaun Watson 89.5 6 1,257 8 6 6.4 4.1% 3.0%
23 Matthew Stafford 89.2 9 2,329 9 8 7.2 2.8% 2.5%
24 Gardner Minshew II 86.8 10 1,765 10 10 6.5 3.7% 3.7%
25 Joshua Dobbs 85.9 11 2,605 18 13 6.0 4.2% 3.0%
26 Desmond Ridder 84.8 9 1,890 10 12 6.8 3.6% 4.3%
27 Kenny Pickett 83.9 10 1,768 7 4 5.6 2.2% 1.3%
28 Mac Jones 82.0 10 2,127 10 12 6.1 2.9% 3.4%
29 Jimmy Garoppolo 80.8 6 1,244 7 9 6.6 3.7% 4.8%
30 Ryan Tannehill 80.4 6 1,168 3 6 6.9 1.8% 3.5%
31 Bryce Young 79.8 9 1,821 9 11 5.3 2.6% 3.2%
32 Daniel Jones 77.9 6 1,115 3 7 5.6 1.5% 3.5%
33 Tyson Bagent 76.7 5 968 5 8 5.8 3.0% 4.8%
34 Zach Wilson 76.3 10 2,143 6 12 6.1 1.7% 3.4%
35 Aidan O’Connell 70.7 5 955 4 8 6.3 2.6% 5.3%
36 P.J. Walker 52.3 5 649 1 6 5.9 0.9% 5.5%

GUIDE:

  • CPR = Adjusted Passer Rating + Rushing Production
    • Adjusted Passer Rating = Passer Rating after eliminating Drops, Throwaways, & Spikes
    • Combined with Rushing Yds, TDs, & Fumbles Lost
  • C-Yd = Combined Yards (Rushing + Passing)
  • C-TD = Combined TDs (Rushing + Passing)
  • C-TO = Combined Turnovers (Rushing + Passing)
  • C-YPA = Combined Yards Per Attempt (Rushing + Passing)
  • C-TD% = Combined TD% Per Attempt (Rushing + Passing)
  • C-TO% = Combined Turnover% Per Attempt (Rushing + Passing)

CPR2

While doing all this I was looking for another metric to account for players that were doing the majority of the work. That is to say, not benefiting strictly of YAC. So I came up with another metric for this. CPR2 takes the original CPR metric and strips the YAC.

  • As an example, it is much harder to earn a perfect rating this way.
    • Keenan Allen is 1/1 for a 49 yd TD. Under both standard and my CPR Rating that would be a 158.3 Rating. However, with CPR2 that becomes a 142.2 Rating. In this rating, perfect means perfect. K.Allen would have had to throw 1/1 for 49 Air Yards on a TD.

Adjusted Rating for Combined Passing & Rushing, further adjusted away from YAC

Rank Player CPR2 AYPC YAC/Cmp CRAY% CYAC% wk10 Rank Rank Change
1 Brock Purdy 130.5 7.4 6.4 55.6% 44.4% 3 +2
2 Dak Prescott 129.6 6.2 4.8 58.6% 41.4% 1 -1
3 Jalen Hurts 128.1 6.4 4.7 62.6% 37.4% 2 -1
4 C.J. Stroud 127.0 8.0 5.3 61.4% 38.6% 6 +2
5 Lamar Jackson 122.8 6.2 5.5 61.4% 38.6% 7 +2
6 Kirk Cousins 121.1 6.2 4.6 57.9% 42.1% 8 +2
7 Josh Allen 118.8 5.6 5.2 56.0% 44.0% 5 -2
8 Justin Fields 116.7 6.2 5.6 62.1% 37.9% 16 +8
9 Jared Goff 116.3 6.0 5.1 54.3% 45.7% 10 +1
10 Justin Herbert 114.6 5.7 5.3 54.7% 45.3% 15 +5
11 Tua Tagovailoa 113.1 6.4 5.8 53.1% 46.9% 12 +1
12 Russell Wilson 110.9 4.7 5.4 51.6% 48.4% 11 -1
13 Joshua Dobbs 110.5 5.6 4.0 64.3% 35.7% 13 --
14 Trevor Lawrence 109.2 5.7 4.8 58.6% 41.4% 22 +8
15 Deshaun Watson 107.9 5.9 4.8 60.3% 39.7% 19 +4
16 Desmond Ridder 104.7 6.3 4.5 61.7% 38.3% 20 +4
17 Sam Howell 103.9 5.3 5.0 54.3% 45.7% 17 --
18 Matthew Stafford 103.8 7.0 5.3 58.2% 41.8% 14 -4
19 Baker Mayfield 102.9 5.5 5.0 54.9% 45.1% 18 -1
20 Jordan Love 101.8 6.0 5.5 55.6% 44.4% 21 +1
21 Jimmy Garoppolo 100.8 6.7 4.3 62.4% 37.6% 23 +2
22 Derek Carr 100.5 5.4 4.8 53.7% 46.3% 24 +2
23 Geno Smith 98.6 5.7 5.3 52.8% 47.2% 25 +2
24 Will Levis 98.1 6.2 5.6 53.4% 46.6% 32 +8
25 Patrick Mahomes 97.7 4.5 5.9 49.2% 50.8% 26 +1
26 Ryan Tannehill 94.7 6.6 4.9 58.9% 41.1% 27 +1
27 Daniel Jones 94.3 4.3 4.1 60.5% 39.5% 28 +1
28 Joe Burrow 93.3 4.4 5.1 48.3% 51.7% 31 +3
29 Gardner Minshew II 92.5 5.5 5.1 53.3% 46.7% 29 --
30 Bryce Young 87.1 4.3 4.2 54.6% 45.4% 30 --
31 Zach Wilson 84.1 5.2 5.1 55.1% 44.9% 33 +2
32 Kenny Pickett 81.9 4.8 5.3 48.8% 51.2% 34 +2
33 Mac Jones 77.3 4.3 5.3 47.2% 52.8% 35 +2
34 Tyson Bagent 74.6 3.9 5.3 48.7% 51.3% 36 +2
35 Aidan O’Connell 64.1 4.7 5.8 45.3% 54.7% 37 +2
36 P.J. Walker 44.7 5.1 7.8 42.7% 57.3% 38 +2

Guide:

  • CPR2 = Takes CPR and adjusts it toward the % of a player’s total yards are not from YAC.
    • This is designed to give a more accurate picture of what a QB is doing (as both a runner & passer) separate from the receiver.
  • AYPC = Air Yards Per Completion
  • YAC/Cmp = Yards After Catch, per Completion
  • CRAY = % of Combined Yards from Rushing and Air Yards
  • CYAC = % of Combined Yards from Yards after the Catch

Stats vs Context

  • A stat like Passer Rating is just a stat. It doesn’t give context. You still have to take the stat and apply context to it.
  • CPR is just a stat. You still have to apply context to it. But hopefully, this gives a more accurate piece of the picture than basic passer rating.

Common Q&A:

  • Does CPR2 favor QBs who have a very strong arm and launch a lot of deep balls?.
    • No. Arm Strength is a routine criticism of Purdy. But he can functionally throw an accurate deep ball without the greatest arm strength.
  • Does CPR2 favor QBs who launch a lot of deep balls?
    • Not necessarily. R.Tannehill leads the NFL in Intended Air Yards per attempt. Watson is 2nd, J.Love is 4th. But none of them rank that highly overall.
  • Does CPR2 hurt QBs who get a lot of YAC?
    • No. When you look at Stroud you can see he leads the NFL in Air Yards per completion. But he is also 6th in YAC/Cmp. Purdy is 2nd & 1st. Tua is 6th and 3rd. It is possible to get both Air Yards and YAC.
  • Why punish checkdowns?
    • the design is not to “punish” anyone. CPR2, specifically, is designed to credit those that are doing more outside of YAC, specifically including on the ground, which is the original criticism I was addressing.
  • Why strip away YAC:?
    • Stripping YAC shows more of the individual contribution, especially with the legs. Which is why you see good runners like Hurts and Lamar take a leap. Their traditional passer rating, invented before the age of mobile QBs, doesn’t properly give them credit for this overall play.
    • ILoveYourWeed@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      Jokes aside though, in Mahomes’s defense, you do need to have great timing to hit receivers in stride to make those YAC-designed routes effective.