Uxbridge and South Ruislip:
- Lab 93%
- Con 7%
Mid-Bedfordshire:
- Lib Dem 59%
- Con 31%
- Lab 8%
Selby and Ainsty:
- Con 50%
- Lab 50%
Somerton and Frome: they don’t have a market up yet, but you’d expect this to be a straight Lib Dem vs Con fight.
Source: Betfair Exchange (mid odds, converted to probabilities).
If people find this useful then I’m happy to post weekly updates between now and the by-election dates.
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I’m interested in further updates