minus-squareBaseblgabe@alien.topBtoNFL@nfl.community•Taking all the data for the last 12 seasons, not a single team has a positive rushing EPA. Do we need to readjust how we use EPA? Is this causing too many pass happy teams this season?linkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up1·10 months agoThis thread (and sub) do not apply brains to stats often enough. Suppose you want to catch fish. Keeping the lure still results in negative FPA (fish probability added). If you move the lure constantly, you will not catch very many fish. Plays aren’t independent, and you can’t pretend they are. Poor assumptions lead to poor conclusions. linkfedilink
This thread (and sub) do not apply brains to stats often enough. Suppose you want to catch fish.
Keeping the lure still results in negative FPA (fish probability added).
If you move the lure constantly, you will not catch very many fish.
Plays aren’t independent, and you can’t pretend they are. Poor assumptions lead to poor conclusions.