• 68 Posts
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Joined 4 months ago
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Cake day: July 11th, 2024

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  • Scholz governing coalition fell apart a week ago and that means new elections in Feburary. The problem for Scholz is that the defense minister Pistorius is much more popular then him. However Pistorius is also more hawkish on Russia, which their party the SPD is generally not. So Scholz needs support from his party to actually be the candidate. Putin rather has Scholz then any of the other realistic option apart from a government including the far right AFD. Hence making Scholz look like a peace candidate is in both Scholz and Putins interest.

    Honestly I doubt anything real comes from this. Both Russia and Ukraine are talking since the war started. There are embassies in Russia allowing for easy communication with lower level diplomats all the time. This is just show.





  • Deshalb werden doch die neuen Gaskraftwerke so gebaut, dass sie einfach auf Wasserstoff umrüstbar sind. Einige Erdgasspeicher lassen sich auch relativ einfacher umrüsten, was schon passiert. Für zwei Wochen im Jahr ist das alles ganz okay, auch wenn Wasserstoff teuer ist. Momentan werden 42TWh Wasserstoff in Deutschland für die chemische Industrie produziert, meist leider aus Erdgas. In diesem Monat haben wir 2,8TWh Strom aus Erdgas und Kohle produziert. Bei 50% effizienz ist das also trotzdem nur 5,6TWh Wasserstoff. Dazu geht auch noch Biomasse in Kohlekraftwerken.

    Das ist genau der Plan den Habeck mit der Kraftwerksstrategie umsetzen will und teilweise schon hat. Deshalb wurde auch die EU Taxonomie in der Richtung angepasst und die Wasserstoffstrategie entworfen und angefangen umzusetzen.






  • If colonialism has made those countries poor, then they should have gotten rich once they were no longer part of a colonial empire. At the same time countries which had large colonial empires should have gotten poor, when loosing their empire.

    What we mostly see is that this is not the case. Portugal got rich after its empire collapsed. Spain was about as rich as its former colonies for a long time. France and the UK did not collapse after loosing their colonies. There are rich countries, which never did have many colonies or only small ones for a limited time, like Germany, Scandinavia or Switzerland. You also have Oman, which did not get rich despite having had colonies. We also have Africa, which only has Botswana as a country genuinly benefiting from no longer being a colony. However that was after diamonds were found inside Botswana shortly after independence. Funnily enough Botswana also asked to be a colony. Everybody else more or less failed to get rich.

    That is not to say that colonial empires should not pay for crimes they comitted or return stolen artifacts. The benefits of colonialism were mostly going to a small elite in the colonial countries and cost the states a lot of resources, which in many cases would have been better spend on other projects.





  • Russia has very few regional bases of power. Most of Russia is controlled by the Kremlin pretty directly and the parts of Russia lacking direct control also lack nukes. So the most likely option is a bit of maybe even violent infighting in the Kremlin and then the victor rules Russia. The Kremlin would also control nukes, so China is unlikely to invade.

    Speaking of nukes, there are 8 launch sites for ICBMs, 3 nuclear submarine naval bases with nukes and two air bases with long range bombers aremed with nukes. So 13 locations need to be controlled. That seems rather possible to me. So honestly I doubt it will be too bad.

    Ukraine has seen what the Russians are willing to do to Ukraine, so they themself will try to become part of NATO or the EU as much and as soon as possible. So it is pretty much NATO/EU or Ukraine building nukes, probably even both.

    Russia would be weakend and needs some time to rebuilt. A defeat would mean that reconstruction period would take a long time. Looking at demographics and Russias economy maybe never.