Thank you :)

I have trouble figuring out what the words are supposed to sound like. I can guess the pronunciation a few different ways. Ex. Ko-ear-a, ko-i-ra, ko-jeer-a, koj-era, koj-i-ra, etc.

Is it possible to add phonetic pronunciations to the posts?

Seems like Ukraine is hitting targets with greater frequency than before.

Anyone have thoughts on if it’s increased Ukrainian skill/technology, increased Ukrainian quantity of weapons being sent, decrease in quantity of Russian anti-air defenses, Ukraine hitting ‘softer’ targets, combination of those, or something else?

Perun (https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=EHUQmJCa3aY) just released a video yesterday that went over Ukraine’s war material situation.

TLDW: Ukrainian military equipment is for the most part qualitatively better than it was at the start of the war but not quantitatively.

Russia on the other hand is qualitatively worse, is running out of reserve war equipment (Soviet stockpiles), and is expected to deplete some of categories of equipment sometime in 2024 (tank stockpile source: Covert Cabal https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=K8CcuVCDEUw).

Edit: some spelling mistakes.

Voyager shows it, if you click on their username.

I had to pause it and step through the last second when time slows to see it.

Based on the steam page it seems like no man’s sky gameplay (possibly others in the genre, but I’m only familiar with no man’s sky).

My understanding is that mortgage rate also plays a role in housing prices. So it would be a nice addition if they added average mortgage rate on the same graph or had another graph with total cost for buying a house with a 30 year mortgage.

One aspect of the Canadian military I didn’t see discussed in the article is how much more Canada pays per piece of equipment compared to other countries. If i recall correctly, changes there could see a 2-3x increase in quantity of material for the same price and quality (Canada overpaying by 2-3x what other countries [US, EU, Aus] pay for the same type and quality of equipment).

Perun (Australian miltary industry blogger) did a long video about Canada’s military and it’s issues:

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=27wWRszlZWU

True, but based on their recent loss rates (they would have about a year left of supply for both and 4 months for artillery systems), plus their general MO and battlefield “strategy”, and it seems to me more likely to be weather related.

Based on the number of tanks and Armoured vehicles it looks like the mud season may have taken full effect.

My understanding is that lot of “herbivores” are opportunistic carnivores.

I thought they were wolves or dogs when I first watched it, but you might be right about sheep.

It seems like they are running out of time.

They are running low on war material and are basically going from factory to front, but their production rate is 1/10 of their loss rate. We’ve already seen drops in losses (like artillery systems) compared to months ago, as they don’t have replacements, and have to lower the quantity they use.

Their economy is imploding (interest rates just hit 20%). The non-defense industry can’t pay for their loans and 1/3 of companies are at risk of bankruptcy in the next 6 months. But they can’t stop the war or their economy (held up by defense industry) will crater into a deep recession.

Their population is indifferent to the war, and doesn’t want to sacrifice more to help fight it. So unlikely to accept another mobilization or increased hardships.

And Ukraine just got approval to use foreign weapons in Russia.

So, yeah, Russia is probably a bit stressed at the moment.

Are you referring to:

Scrum-halves will also be given more protection around scrums, rucks and mauls to ensure a supply of cleaner, quicker ball and faster phases of play.

Or something else? Didn’t see anything else related to scrums in the article.

They lost a lot at the beginning. Now they are left with what they can produce new and refurbish from storage.

I’ve seen estimates of this being 300 to 2000 tanks annually (1 to 6 tanks daily). Since they are in a big push right now they are likely using up their operational reserves that they built up over months.

So they can afford to lose more tanks than they “produce” daily, but how long they can keep up this attrition rate up is unclear. I’ve seen estimates that they have 3000ish tanks left in field/reserve/storage.

However, it’s unclear what condition these stored tanks are in. They likely used the newer tanks and those needing the least refurbishment first, leaving the only the dregs (old and heavily damaged) left.

Edit: added a couple clarifying words.

I’ve heard the Russian economy is overheating and is going to have major problems by mid 2025 (interest rates already 20+% and home mortgage rate have hit a peak at 40%). I figured that would mean that the Russian war machine would start having massive problems by the end of 2025.

But the way Russia is pushing so hard, after a Trump victory and expected US support withdrawal and pressure to negotiate, makes me think they are trying to begin negotiation on Day 1 of a Trump presidency. Which I would infer means they are in a worse position than I expected and could have massive war machine problems by mid 2025.

If Ukraine was then able to, and did continue, fighting until the end of 2025, they may start making major gains in the war against the broken Russian war machine. Putin may call a second mobilization wave to slow the Ukrainians but that may be counterproductive by causing general unrest and protestation against the war.

Revan. Star Wars Knights of the Old Republic.

Really seems like it has to be electronic interference. It happens everytime the drone gets close to the soldier.

On a potentially positive note, it seems that the Russians are running low on artillery systems (loss of ~25/day on a high casualty day compared to ~70/day months ago).

I believe euromaiden press estimates they have 21% of their total stock pile left and they field ~20% at a time. This would mean they have essentially no reserves left and field usage is now limited by production rates and refurbishment of equipment in bad shape.

It may be because they are running out of reserve Soviet equipment and are forced to rely on meat assaults to keep up the pressure.

I’ve noticed the number of artillery system destroyed per day is about half (~25-35/day) of what it was for most of the past year (~70/day).

Same with APCs, the number seems to have halved and the “vehicles and fuel tanks” number has risen to compensate. To me, that indicates the Russians are riding into battle on unarmed vehicles (motorcycles, golf carts, regular cars/trucks, etc.) and are more suseptible to becoming a casualty than earlier in the war.

If that were the case, the Russians pressure/assaults may not have increased as significantly as the casualty number increase would indicate.