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Cake day: October 27th, 2023

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  • According to the Pythagorean record, which estimates how teams ‘should’ have done based on their point differential, here are the results.

    Luckiest teams in the N.F.L. (Teams worse than their current record):

    1. Pittsburgh Steelers. Should be 4—5, but are actually 6—3.
    2. Philadelphia Eagles. Should be 6—3, but are actually 8—1.
    3. Detroit Lions. Should be 5—4, but are actually 7—2.
    4. Seattle Seahawks. Should be 4—5, but are actually 6—3.
    5. Jacksonville Jaguars. Should be 5—4, but are actually 6—3.

    Unluckiest teams in the N.F.L. (Teams better than their current record):

    1. Buffalo Bills. Should be 7—3, but are actually 5—5.
    2. Green Bay Packers. Should be 4—5, but are actually 3—6.
    3. Carolina Panthers. Should be 2—7, but are actually 1—8.
    4. San Francisco 49ers. Should be 7—2, but are actually 6—3.
    5. Los Angeles Chargers. Should be 5—4, but are actually 4—5.

    Meanwhile, the teams almost spot—on with their predicted records are the Indianapolis Colts (5—5) and the Houston Texans (5—4).