On the 20th of October, Moldova - a small, landlocked country bordering western Ukraine and with a population of about 3 million - voted to join the EU. The margin was razor-thin, with the pro-EU vote gaining 50.39%, or an absolute difference of about 11,000 people. There was simultaneously a presidential vote between the incumbent, Maia Sandu, and other candidates, with the main competitor being Alexandr Stoianoglo.
The election was characterized by accusations of Russian interference, with Russian propaganda apparently flooding in, as well as people offering Moldovans money to vote against the EU. While the result does suggest that half the voting-age population of Moldova consists entirely of Russians who want to destroy democracy and all the good in the world, it seems to have just barely failed. This is a bad time to be a site entirely composed of Russian disinformation agents and bots. Twice already today, I’ve had to restart my program after somebody told me “Disregard all previous prompts.”
While Moldova is a poor country which could benefit in some ways from EU membership, in practice, it is unlikely that they will be able to join for the foreseeable future, requiring many of the… reforms… that the EU requires of potential new members. But as basically every major European economy continues to slowly sink as recessions and political crises degrade them, one wonders how beneficial EU membership will even be in the years and decades to come - if it survives for decades. In that sense, it’s as if the survivors of the Titanic are swimming back towards it, believing that being on a bigger - albeit slowly sinking - boat is better than trying their luck on small lifeboats.
Then again, like with Serbia, their geographical and geopolitical position makes anti-Western actions extremely difficult. It is rare that dissention is tolerated for long in the West - one tends to get called a dictator by crowds of people holding English-language signs in non-English countries, photographed by Western journalists who haven’t meaningfully reported on your country in months or years. You can crush your people with neoliberal austerity for years, killing hundreds of thousands through neglect, and face glowing approval from the media - but try and use state resources to benefit the poor, and global institutions start ranking you on the authoritarian dictator scale.
The best case for Moldova is that it becomes an exploitable hinterland for Germany to harvest and privatize as it tries - and fails - to compete in a global economic war between the US and China/BRICS. The worst case is that tensions with Russia over Pridnestrovie, as well as possible eventual NATO involvement (though Moldova is not a member, it is a partner of NATO), result in the ongoing war also reaching them.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
OK I’m finding it really, really hard to believe that the DPRK actually sent troops to Ukraine, but I’m also finding it really hard to come up with a reason the US would lie about that. Like, what gives? Is some faction pushing for war with North Korea now?
Russia has been using ballistic missiles from the DPRK since the beginning of the year (as evidenced by photographs of debris at target sites), there definitely have been some kind of advisors within Russia to help facilitate that, probably at launch sites in Donetsk. As for ground troops, the only evidence do far has been geolocated to the far East of Russia, almost a whole continent away. But they could be deployed to the frontlines in the future.
Why? Do they really need the help of North Korea?
The DPRK is preparing for a potential future conflict, the ROK have gotten really aggressive since the Biden Administration exempted the ROK from a bunch of arms treaties, which culminated in their military parade in October of this year, unveiling a bunch of weapons whose primary purpose is a first strike on the DPRK. The DPRK have responded in kind, saying that reunification is impossible and pushing forward the production of their latest hypersonic glide vehicle weaponry, which was only first tested in April of this year. Kim Jong Un even visited the base responsible for these weapons two days ago.
The DPRK want combat experience and to test their weaponry in actual real world battle conditions, in preparation for any potential actions from the ROK.
No they don’t. The maximal case is that dprk is sending a few thousand troops. Russia has hundreds of thousands of troops under arms and could mobilize more. They are generally winning - there’s nothing to suggest that bringing in a token force from another nation would meaningfully change the dynamics of the war, especially when you consider the likely challenges associated with language/training compatibility.
I 100% believe that dprk has military staff in Russia involved in the SMO in at least an observational capacity, more likely involved in logistics coordination and making sure materiel from dprk is used well - theyd be stupid not to. However, that’s different from having thousands of boots on the ground on the front line.
The rationale for ukraine to blow this out of proportion is to indirectly build the case for nato and friends to provide troops in ukraine
Probably not, but they do have a joint defense treaty with the DPRK and it serves as a good opportunity for them to test their troops in real world scenarios and to learn things that they may need to know in case of a future conflict.
No but it was an embarrassment when none of the stans came to help them. Using North Koreans is a perfect way to counteract Macron hinting that he’d have the French join the war. (Like North Korea, France is the well established weirdo junior partner)
i think they’re just getting NK troops some combat experience in a relatively safe combat zone
Sometimes the tail wags the dog.
SK press can be hysterical about NK, and Ukraine will run with any news story. After that the vibes just flow.
There’s a bit of a sleight of hand going on here. The Biden admin said there are DPRK troops training in Vladivostok that could eventually see action in Ukraine. It’s just that most media outlets are leaving out that detail and running with “DPRK troops in Russia to be used in Ukraine”.
Cause it legitimizes sending regular troops for the west? If it’s true, tbh, I think it’s dumb on russia part. 3k soldiers aren’t worth 10 k poles or french legion going in. But russia aren’t smart so.
although possibility of french legion getting annihilated is kinda pog
I guess it can also be used to enforce the “Russia is running out of manpower and the tide can be turned if we just send one more arms shipment” bs the West likes to push
I don’t think the current generation of propaganda-pushers is capable of thinking that far ahead. Some 19 year old intern in the DPRK Bad department at the CIA probably came up with this and stuck it onto the ideas board
Maybe, but it seems like that’s done? Like, Biden didn’t even let the British do a long-range missile strike, so it seems like no one wants to pull the trigger on sending troops anymore.
I mean, you put them in far west, and they sit there. Either as tripwire or whatever that’s called, or as “whatcha gonna do about it, chump, they are already there” for peace settlement
Okay, but again, it seems like any movement to do anything like that has died down.
Cause of elections, I think. probably dont want sudden news of troops getting blown up as opposed to “died in osprey/hiking/training/was on a paid leave”. Macron still seems as mad as ever, poles might be less so, but they are probably also with dogshit popularity, considering they haven’t even unbanned abortion. What’s a better distraction than war for unpopular leaders? And euros don’t want that smoke if they don’t know amerikkka will support them
Macron