If you have trouble with the Times’ paywall, here’s the full text of the op-ed:


Understanding climate denial used to seem easy: It was all about greed. Delve into the background of a researcher challenging the scientific consensus, a think tank trying to block climate action or a politician pronouncing climate change a hoax and you would almost always find major financial backing from the fossil fuel industry.

Those were simpler, more innocent times, and I miss them.

True, greed is still a major factor in anti-environmentalism. But climate denial has also become a front in the culture wars, with right-wingers rejecting the science in part because they dislike science in general and opposing action against emissions out of visceral opposition to anything liberals support.

And this cultural dimension of climate arguments has emerged at the worst possible moment — a moment when both the extreme danger from unchecked emissions and the path toward slashing those emissions are clearer than ever.

Some background: Scientists who began warning decades ago that the rising concentration of greenhouse gases in Earth’s atmosphere would have dangerous effects on the climate have been overwhelmingly vindicated.

Worldwide, July was the hottest month on record, with devastating heat waves in many parts of the globe. Extreme weather events are proliferating. Florida is essentially sitting in a hot bath, with ocean temperatures off some of its coast higher than body temperature.

At the same time, technological progress in renewable energy has made it possible to envisage major reductions in emissions at little or no cost in terms of economic growth and living standards.

Back in 2009, when Democrats tried but failed to take significant climate action, their policy proposals consisted mainly of sticks — limits on emissions in the form of permits that businesses could buy and sell. In 2022, when the Biden administration finally succeeded in passing a major climate bill, it consisted almost entirely of carrots — tax credits and subsidies for green energy. Yet thanks to the revolution in renewable technology, energy experts believe that this all-gain-no-pain approach will have major effects in reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

But not if Republicans can help it. The Heritage Foundation is spearheading an effort called Project 2025 that will probably define the agenda if a Republican wins the White House next year. As The Times reports, it calls for “dismantling almost every clean energy program in the federal government and boosting the production of fossil fuels.”

What’s behind this destructive effort? Well, Project 2025 appears to have been largely devised by the usual suspects — fossil-fueled think tanks like the Heartland Institute and the Competitive Enterprise Institute that have been crusading against climate science and climate action for many years.

But the political force of this drive, and the likelihood that there will be no significant dissent from within the G.O.P. if Republicans do take the White House, has a lot to do with the way science in general and climate science in particular have become a front in the culture war.

About attitudes toward science: As recently as the mid-2000s, Republicans and Democrats had similar levels of trust in the scientific community. Since then, however, Republican trust has plunged as Democratic trust has risen; there’s now a 30-point gap between the parties.

We saw the effect of this anti-science trend when Covid vaccines became available: Vaccination was free to the public, so there was no economic cost to individuals, yet getting vaccinated was widely perceived as something “experts” and liberal elites wanted you to do. As a result, Republicans disproportionately refused to get their shots and suffered substantially higher rates of excess deaths — deaths over and above those you would normally have expected — than Democrats.

Does anyone seriously doubt that similar attitudes are driving rank-and-file Republicans to oppose action on climate change? The other day my colleague David Brooks argued that many Republicans dispute the reality of climate change and push for fossil fuels as a way to “offend the elites.” He’s right. Look at the hysterical reaction to potential regulations on gas stoves, and while it’s clear that special interests were, um, fueling the fire, there was also a strong culture-war element: The elites want you to get an induction cooktop, but real men cook with gas.

The fact that the climate war is now part of the culture war worries me, a lot. Special interests can do a great deal of damage, but they can be bought off or counterbalanced with other special interests. Indeed, an important part of President Biden’s climate strategy is the idea that renewable energy investments, which have been soaring since his legislation passed, will give many businesses and communities a stake in continuing the green transition.

But such rational if self-interested considerations won’t do much to persuade people who believe that green energy is a conspiracy against the American way of life. So the culture war has become a major problem for climate action — a problem we really, really don’t need right now.

  • Sunforged@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    It’s not a culture war issue and God damn I am so tired of NYTimes obfuscation of the truth of the matter.

    Climate like so many other issues we currently face is a class war issue. The working class is going to face the fallout of environmental change, while the rich avoid feeling it effects. Mass migration north as the global south becomes unsustainable, food shortages increasing grocery prices, working conditions continuing to become unsafe as AC installation in warehouses and trucks is “cost prohibitive”. None of that will impact the wealthy, it’s exactly WHY they are currently hoarding.

    • Fredselfish @lemmy.ml
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      11 months ago

      And building bunkers in places they know will have lesser effects from climate change. They know we are destroying the planet we live on and our ability to live on it and just don’t fucking care and it blows my mind.

      • tarsn@lemmy.ca
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        11 months ago

        Let me know when the blue collar workers stop licking boots and start actually fighting back

      • pgm_01@kbin.social
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        11 months ago

        That’s the point of the “culture war” that is currently manifesting as a war against “wokeness.” As long as conservatives are distracted into hating LGBTQ and minorities, the working class will be split and will not have the ability to fight against the people truly responsible for the mess we are in.

        The indoctrination works exceeding well, too. I have a relative who voted for Al Gore because of his stance on the environment. Fast-forward to now, and she is posting things on Facebook supporting the overall Republican agenda (Not supporting Trump or DeSantis, but still very conservative.) Basically, a bunch of family stuff including prolonged illness and eventual deaths made her a much more unhappy person, and the right-wing propaganda is designed to pick up people like that and bring them into the machine.

        • Sunforged@lemmy.world
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          11 months ago

          This article is the flipside, it does nothing to address the true issue and only further drives a wedge to divide. If you start talking about issues both rural and urban voters care about, such as the stratification of wealth, how poor folk are burdened with the biggest tax rate and how a billionare class straight up should not exist, you will actually make inroads with people both liberal and conservative that have been spoon fed propaganda for their entire lives.

    • Daisyifyoudo@lemmy.world
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      11 months ago

      it’s exactly WHY they are currently hoarding.

      Not true. The hoarding of wealth and resources isn’t purposeful in respect to climate change or any resultant global catastrophe, but simply happenstance. They hoard because greed is a sickness.

      Eat the Rich

      • Madison420@lemmy.world
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        11 months ago

        Bingo, robber barons in the gilded age did the same shit while owning people at the same time. It’s a power thing not forethought of climate change.

    • TheMage@lemmy.ml
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      11 months ago

      You are correct about the wealthy but I’ve been pointing out for a while now that the wealthy also won’t have to suffer the massive inconveniences, high energy costs, lifestyle downgrades and all the other negatives of the climate change mitigation nonsense. So they fly around in jets, have mansions everywhere, yachts, helicopters, limousines and whatever else. But I’m supposed to drive a crappy electric car, live in stacked public housing, ride bikes, shut off or have limited AC usage, etc? Yeah, screw them.

      This whole climate change thing is not a big seller and regular people arent falling for the BS. The ulterior motives here are strong. It’s about control, mostly.

    • spaceghoti@lemmy.oneOP
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      11 months ago

      As George Carlin pointed out in the 80s, “Besides, there is nothing wrong with the planet… nothing wrong with the planet. The planet is fine… the people are fucked!”

  • Schwab002@lemm.ee
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    11 months ago

    This is a severe case of the NYT slapping an incendiary headline on a perfectly fine article, clearly just trying to rage-bait people into clicking. Krugman is mostly correct here.