Me in my 30s: “my doctor says I need to eat nothing but kale and lukewarm water or I’ll die at 50” deeper-sadness

  • CrawlMarks [he/him]@hexbear.net
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    24
    ·
    20 hours ago

    I see three possible avenues for this. 1. We get more sugar than them and sugar is worse than we realize. 2. They had less liberalism, and living with community and purpose was better enough to keep them going. 3. They died more and if anything was gonna make them sick they wouldn’t have survived till old age so the survivorship bias is stronger.

    So we just need to find a way to isolate those variables and do a regression for the data. Yeah?

    • KobaCumTribute [she/her]@hexbear.net
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      10
      ·
      18 hours ago
      1. They died more and if anything was gonna make them sick they wouldn’t have survived till old age so the survivorship bias is stronger.

      It’s sort of this, but also the fact that risk factors are probabilistic and there are, to put it bluntly, a very large number of people. Some might theoretically have a small mutation that makes their system more robust in some indefinable way, but mostly it’s just a matter of there being so many people that some of them are going to win all the “risk of imminent death” dice rolls for a very long time.