• zenitsu@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    31
    arrow-down
    5
    ·
    1 year ago

    Russia lost as soon as they failed to complete their stated “objectives” as fast as they arrogantly thought they would as they mixed up cosplaying as a superpower with actually being one. They’re no longer able to meaningfully “win” in Ukraine and with each passing day their position only weakens, while Ukraine gets stronger. The only question now is how badly Russia’s going to lose.

    • NotMyOldRedditName@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      29
      ·
      edit-2
      1 year ago

      The real question is can Russia outlast outside aid to Ukraine.

      If USA aid dries up, that will substantially hurt Ukraine. Can the EU make up for it? Even if they can, will they?

      Are there any elections coming up in EU support heavy countries where that support could flip like in USA? Can Putin wait that out?

      If Russia can start moving forward due to less Ukraine support, will Ukraine keep fighting indefinitely or will they eventually give up territory to Russia to end it?

      There’s so many unknowns.

      The win Russia wanted is gone, but make no mistake Ukraine can only hold out as long as they have support. Russia can and will meat grinder past them if support erodes and they can wait quite awhile longer.

      Hopefully they can hold out long enough for this US madness to sort itself out. (Edit but that might last until Jan 2025 and only change if Dems flip the house)

      • randon31415@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        5
        arrow-down
        1
        ·
        1 year ago

        Even if Russia totally breaks Ukraine’s military, we can just go back to the original plan America had before they realized that Ukraine actually held the line: armed insurgency. Think Iraqi insurgency against America with the tenacity of the Maripol defenders.

        • NotMyOldRedditName@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          edit-2
          1 year ago

          Thanks for the reply. Just wanted to let you know, I only got this today (6 days later), even though I’ve been frequently using lemmy.world directly on the website and the sync app and getting replies from others with reasonable times. Might be a problem on your end?

    • assassin_aragorn@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      10
      ·
      1 year ago

      Putin has effectively destroyed Russia’s position on the world stage, calling it a loss is really understating things. When we saw their military was a joke, they lost significant credibility. They’re nowhere near superpower status, and their global influence has happened in spite of their military – and is endangered now that it’s truly seen.