• Wiz
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    3 months ago

    Are they still oversampling Republicans? Because in 2022 they predicted a Red Wave that was purple at best.

    Also, I think abortion is on the ballot in like 20 states? That will help bluify the vote, too.

    • Patches@sh.itjust.works
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      3 months ago

      The only thing guaranteed about any poll is that they’re oversampling old fucks.

      Ain’t nobody but boomers going to answer a random phone call to give personal information.

        • Dkarma@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          They still use land lines…that’s exactly how polling works.

          Call 1000 land lines in Arkansas and tell me if anypne under 50 picks up.

          • WoahWoah@lemmy.world
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            3 months ago

            They still include landlines, but no major polling agency in the United States has used landline contacts as the primary source of polling data in at least a decade.

            As you yourself note, landlines are wonderful for sampling particular demographics, which are then weighted against local, county, regional, and national demographics (to name only a few of the analytics used).

            Do you think polling is just some guy smoking a cigar yelling at a room full of people dialing furiously on rotary phones to old people, and that’s why Trump is polling ahead?

            No. He’s winning because majorities of likely voters are going to put a narcissistic fascist in the White House because they’re mad at things, and Biden has continued to lose astonishing numbers of non-white voters.

            That should scare you, if you care about the United States falling into fascism. The US is a technology, nuclear weaponry, military, and economic superpower. The world’s economy runs on the USD and the United States has 800+ military bases in over 70 countries. That alone makes it a concern.

            Whining about the polls won’t change that.