The AI boom is screwing over Gen Z | ChatGPT is commandeering the mundane tasks that young employees have relied on to advance their careers.::ChatGPT is commandeering the tasks that young employees rely on to advance their careers. That’s going to crush Gen Z’s career path.

  • Obsession@sh.itjust.works
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    1 year ago

    The fucked up part isn’t that AI work is replacing human work, it’s that we’re at a place as a society where this is a problem.

    More automation and less humans working should be a good thing, not something to fear.

    • Sheltac@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      But that would require some mechanism for redistributing wealth and taking care if those who choose not to work, and everyone knows that’s communism.

      • dmention7@lemm.ee
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        1 year ago

        So much this. The way headlines like this frame the situation is so ass-backwards it makes my brain hurt. In any sane world, we’d be celebrating the automation of mundane tasks as freeing up time and resources to improve our health, happiness, and quality of life instead of wringing our hands about lost livelihoods.

        The correct framing is that the money and profits generated by those mundane tasks are still realized, it’s just that they are no longer going to workers, but funneled straight to the top. People need to get mad as hell not at the tech, but at those who are leveraging that tech to specifically to deny them opportunity rather than improving their life.

        I need a beer. 😐

        • starcat@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          money and profits generated by those mundane tasks are still realized, it’s just that they are no longer going to workers, but funneled straight to the top

          Workers should be paid royalties for their contributions. If “the top” is able to reap the rewards indefinitely, so should the folks who built the systems.

    • Aceticon@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      There are both dystopian (a tiny Elite owns the automatons and gets all gains from their work and a massive unemployed Underclass barelly surviving) and utopian (the machines do almost everything for everybody) outcomes for automation and we’re firmly in the path for Dystopia.

    • P03 Locke@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      1 year ago

      Exactly. This has nothing to do with AI and everything to do with UBI.

      But, the rich and plebes alike will push AI as the Boogeyman as a distraction from the real enemy.

      • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        There’s this bizarre right-wing idea that if everyone can afford basic necessities, they won’t do anything. To which I say, so what? If you want to live in shitty government housing and survive off of food assistance but not do anything all day, fine. Who cares? Plenty of other people want a higher standard of living than that and will have a job to do so. We just won’t have people starving in the street and dying of easily fixable health problems.

        • P03 Locke@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          1 year ago

          We also have to be careful of how people define this sort of thing, and how the wide range of our current wealth inequality affects how something like UBI would be implemented.

          In the rich’s eyes, UBI is already a thing and it’s called “welfare”. It’s not enough that people on welfare can barely survive on the poverty-level pittance that the government provides, but both the rich and slightly-more-well-off have to put down these people as “mooching off the system” and “stealing from the government”, pushing for even more Draconian laws that punish their situation even further. It is a caste of people who are portrayed as even lower scum than “the poors”, right down to segregating where they live to “Section 8” housing as a form of control.

          UBI is not about re-creating welfare. It’s about providing a comfortable safety net while reducing the obscene wealth gap, as technology drives unemployment even higher. Without careful vigilance, the rich and powerful will use this as another wedge issue to create another class of people to hate (their favorite pastime), and push for driving the program down just as hard as they do for welfare.

          • CoderKat@lemm.ee
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            1 year ago

            Yeah, modern welfare isn’t remotely enough to match the spirit of UBI. It’s structured so that you have to have a job. It’s not enough to live by at all. And bizarrely, there’s some jobs where they’d actually be worse than welfare because min wage is so crazy low in many parts of the US.

            And even if you’re on disability, you’re gonna have a hard time. It pays barely enough to maybe scrape by if you cut every possible corner.

            No form of welfare is close to being livable for the typical recipient. At best, they usually give you some spending cash while you live with friends or family. Maybe if you’re really lucky you can find that rare, rare subsidized housing and manage to just barely make ends meet.

            By comparison, most proponents of UBI want it to be livable. Nothing glamorous, admittedly, but enough to live a modest life. Enough that if there’s no jobs available you qualify for (or none that will pay a living wage, at least), you’ll be okay.

          • DogMuffins@discuss.tchncs.de
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            1 year ago

            The differences between UBI and “welfare” are perhaps subtle but very important IMO.

            In Australia there’s an entire industry around punishing and humiliating people that need welfare. It’s just absurd and unnecessary. UBI avoids any of that by just making the entitlement universal.

            We have “job network providers” which IMO do not provide any value to anyone. Suppose in a particular region there are 4,000 unemployed people and this particular week there are 400 new jobs. To receive welfare you need to be working with a job network provider to find a job. However, those job network providers aren’t creating any jobs. One way or another 400 people will probably get a new job this week. They might help a particular person tidy up their resume or whatever but they’re not actually finding jobs for people. Their only purpose is to make receiving welfare a chore, it’s absurd.

            There’s also people stuck in the welfare trap. As in, if I don’t work at all I get $w welfare, but for every $1 I earn I lose $0.50 from $w, so why would I work a shitkicker job flipping burgers for effectively half the pay.

    • Galluf@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      This was exactly the problem that Charles Murray pointed out in the bell curve. We’re rapidly increasing the complexity of the available jobs (and the successful people can output 1000-1,000,000 times more than simple labor in the world of computers). It’s the same concept as the industrial revolution, but to a greater degree.

      The problem is that we’re taking away the vast majority of the simple jobs. Even working at a fast food place isn’t simple.

      That alienates a good chunk of the population from being able to perform useful work.

    • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      It’s not even a new thing either.

      It used to be that every single piece of fabric was handmade, every book handwritten.

      Humans have been losing out on labor since they realized Og was faster at bashing rocks together than anyone else.

      It’s just a question of if we redistribute the workload. Like turning “full time” down to 6 days a week and eventually 5, or working hours from 12+ to 8hrs. Which inflates the amount of jobs to match availability.

      Every single time the wealthy say we can’t. But eventually it happens, the longer it takes, the less likely it’s peaceful.

      • Bazoogle@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Where are you that 7 days a week 12 hour days is full time? That’s literally just always working. Standard full time in the states is 40 hour work weeks.

      • dustyData@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        But eventually

        There’s no eventually, people have been killed, murdered and harassed whilst fighting to make it a reality. Someone has to fight to make it happen and an “eventually” diminishes the value of the effort and risks put forth by labor activists all over the world throughout history. It didn’t happen magically, people worked really hard to make it so.

    • legion02@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      The problem, as it almost always is, is greed. Those at the top are trying to keep the value derived from the additional efficiency that ai is going to bring for themselves.

    • AllonzeeLV@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Precisely, the hill to die on is to socialize the profits, not to demand we keep the shitty, injuring, repetitive task jobs that break a person’s back by 35.

      You don’t protest street lights to keep the lamp lighters employed. The economy needs to change fundamentally to accommodate the fact that many citizens won’t have jobs yet need income. It won’t change, but it needs to.

      So we’ll keep blaming the wrong thing, technology that eases the labor burden on humanity, instead of destroying the wealth class that demands they be the sole beneficiary of said technology and its implementation in perpetuity to the detriment of almost everyone outside the owner class. Because if we did that, we’d be filthy dirty marxist socialist commies that hate freedumb, amirite?!

  • dottedgreenline@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    The problem is the concept of work hasn’t shifted to keep up with the technological reality that has been created. Jobs should slowly be phased out. We need a new economical concept to take hold that doesn’t rely solely on class and fear to make it trundle along. Jobs should be what you do to grow your own fruit and veggies for fun, while the administration and maintenance of basically everything should be left to technology. Wealth and wealth accumulation should no longer exist or be seen as anything other than childish and irrelevant.

  • kokiriflute@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Lol it’s not ChatGPT screwing over Gen Z. It’s the rich business owners who care more about profits than people.

    • nudny ekscentryk@szmer.info
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      1 year ago

      Let’s play devil’s advocate: if AI is capable of doing a job for a fraction of the cost, faster, with no mistakes, no “moods”, no sick days, then why would they hire a person? I honestly see no reason for them to do so and that concerns me.

  • jsavage@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    It’s not just Gen Z, everyone’s jobs are at risk as AI improves and automates away human labor. People who think that with exponential rate of progress of AI there will continue to be an abundance of good jobs are completely delusional. Companies hire people out of necessity, not some goodness of the heart. If machines can do everything humans can do and better, then companies will hire less people and outsource to machines. Sure there will be people working on the bleeding edge of what AI isn’t yet capable of, but that’s a bar that’s only going to get higher and higher as the performance advantage gap of humans over machines reduces.

    Of course none of this would be an issue if we had an economic system that aligned technological progress with improved quality of life and human freedom, but instead we cling on to antiquated systems of the past that just disproportionately accrue wealth to a dwindling minority while leaving the rest of civilization at their mercy. Anyone with any brain or sense of integrity realizes how absurd this is, and it’s been obvious we need a Universal Basic Income for a long time. The hope I have is that Andrew Yang explained it eloquently 4 years ago and it resonated way stronger than I expected with the American population, so I think in a few years when AI is starting to automate any job where one doesn’t need a 160 IQ, people will see the writing on the wall and there will finally be the political capital to implement a UBI.

    • DragonAce@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Yeah we’re quickly approaching a tipping point where people can no longer scoff at the idea of UBI. The more jobs that get automated, the fewer people working and pumping money back into the economy. This can only go on for so long before the economy completely collapses.

    • Overzeetop@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      It’s the march of progress, but it’s coming for previously “safe” jobs. I make a good living as a consultant, but about 80-90% of my job could be automated by AI. I just went to a conference in my field and everyone in the room was convinced that they couldn’t be replaced by AI - and they’re dead wrong. By the time my small corner of industry gets fully automated I’ll be retired or, at the least, in a position where I’m the human gathering the field data and backchecking the automated workflows before it goes out the door.

      political capital to implement a UBI

      I applaud your optimism, and genuinely hope you’re right.

  • Aceticon@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    It was already happenning in things like Software Developmnt with outsourcing: all the entry level stuff was sent away to be done by people who cost a fraction of what even a Junior Dev would cost in the West, and that’s exactly the stuff that one starts one’s career with.

    • ExecutorAxon@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      As someone who lives in the east where these jobs are outsourced to, it’s not like junior devs here get to work on them either. Most outsourced stuff is assigned to people higher up. The talented juniors are left sitting on the bench as retainer manpower, others are in an endless string of unpaid internships.

      The job situation is more similar then you think all over the world

      • LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Can you explain what you mean by retainer manpower? I’ve never worked anywhere where there was an extra person. Usually a job that requires 20 people would be set up for 20, 3 would leave the company, one would go out on disability and you have 16 doing the job of 20. They make a new middle management role with little to no raise but a sense of pride that you are now in charge and they stick that person with ensuring the 16 people don’t fall behind. Which really means you now have 15 workers, and 1 person stuck in meetings all day explaining why we are barely keeping our heads above water.

        • ExecutorAxon@lemm.ee
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          1 year ago

          Companies hire junior devs (and other cheap labour) as “reserves”, in the off chance that you get more projects (sometimes this is negotiated as a bonded contract, which you can’t break for 3-5 years, but I hear that abusive practice is dying slowly).

          They are paid abysmally low salaries, but youre not allowed to work, or find work elsewhere while you’re on this type of contract. If a project comes and you’re needed, you’re put on a regular contract that is comparatively not as low paying.

          All the factors you mentioned are still at play, these people are almost never put on existing projects, so you end up with less people doing more work, with more people just sitting around doing nothing waiting for new projects.

          This type of environment is extremely negative and depressing to be in, and it promotes a lot of office politics to get yourself off that list and into a better salary etc.

  • Hup!@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    And the funny part is that ChatGPT isn’t good enough at anything to be trusted with doing it alone. You still need an expert on the subject matter to proofread anything that will be seen by the public or used to make a business decision.

    • DaCookeyMonsta@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      You can say the same for entry level employees though. I’m not trusting anyone new to post without review.

      Granted I rather the company pay someone so they can be taught and eventually become autonomous over time.

      • Hup!@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        And presumably a human who works has some intention to get it right so they can prove their worth or learn or any of a million reasons to want to succeed at work.

        ChatGPT is just math in a black box that spits out random language stems filtered and organized by the input parameters you choose.

        • Overzeetop@lemmy.world
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          presumably a human who works has some intention … to succeed at work

          Which is the one in ten who really love what they do and want to go into management or oversee the process for professional fulfillment. Of the other nine, three are waiting to move to a company that pays better, two will decide they don’t like it and change careers entirely, and four really are terrible at it but HR decided they met the minimum requirements and would work for entry level wages so they’ll be in that job for the foreseeable future with zero upward growth, eventually getting bitter and doing a worse and worse job while complaining about their lack of promotion.

          • Hup!@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            Not sure what industry you’re in but that sounds like a fair wages and training problem, not an ambition problem. Most people are content to advance in an industry for the sake of job security and professional development, even if they don’t have a particular passion for the specific job role, as long as they are being compensated fairly and see a path for advancement or transferable skills.

            • Overzeetop@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              I’m architecture-adjacent, so I’m working with clients across a bunch of different market sectors, many are business owners, but my avocations are heavily into performing arts so many people I know in that group are a pretty substantial cross section of low to moderate wage, often entry level workers. I also own my business so I’ve been in the hiring and training side of things.

  • Dnn@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Bullshit. Learn how to train new hires to do useful work instead of mundane bloat.

    • Lmaydev@programming.dev
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      1 year ago

      100% if an AI can do the job just as well (or better) then there’s no reason we should be making a person do it.

      • phario@lemmy.ca
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        1 year ago

        Part of the problem with AI is that it requires significant skill to understand where AI goes wrong.

        As a basic example, get a language model like ChatGPT to edit writing. It can go very wrong, removing the wrong words, changing the tone, and making mistakes that an unlearned person does not understand. I’ve had foreign students use AI to write letters or responses and often the tone is all off. That’s one thing but the student doesn’t understand that they’ve written a weird letter. Same goes with grammar checking.

        This sets up a dangerous scenario where, to diagnose the results, you need to already have a deep understanding. This is in contrast to non-AI language checkers that are simpler to understand.

        Moreover as you can imagine the danger is that the people who are making decisions about hiring and restructuring may not understand this issue.

        • exbot@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          The good news is this means many of the jobs AI is “taking” will probably come back when people realize it isn’t actually as good as the hype implied

          • astronaut_sloth@mander.xyz
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            1 year ago

            Not quite. It’s more that a job that once had 5-10 people and perhaps an “expert” supervisor will just be whittled down to the expert. Similarly, factories used to employ hundreds and a handful of supervisors to produce a widget. Now, they can employ a couple of supervisors and a handful of robot technicians to produce more widgets.

            • MurrayL@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              The problem is, where do those experts come from? Expertise is earned through experience, and if all the entry-level jobs go away then eventually you’ll run out of experts.

              • biddy@feddit.nl
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                1 year ago

                Education. If education was free this wouldn’t be a problem, you could take a few more years at university to gain that experience instead of working in a junior role.

                This is the problem with capitalism, if you take too much without giving back, eventually there’s nothing left to take.

        • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          And AI is not always the best solution. One of my tasks at my job is to respond to website reviews. There is a button I can push that will generate an AI review. I’ve tested it. It works… but it’s not personal. My responses directly address things they say, especially if they have issues. Their responses are things like, “thanks for your five-star review! We really appreciate it, blah blah blah.” Like a full paragraph of boilerplate bullshit that never feels like the review is addressed.

          You would think responding to reviews properly would be a very basic function an AI could do as well as a human, but at present, no way.

          • NaN@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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            1 year ago

            This assumes that your company doesn’t decide the AI responses are good enough in exchange for the cost savings of removing a person from the role, and that they don’t improve in a subsequent update.

            • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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              True, although my company emphasizes human contact with customers. We really go out of our way with tech support and such. That said, I hate responding to reviews. I kind of wish it was good enough to just press the ‘respond to review with AI’ button.

        • DogMuffins@discuss.tchncs.de
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          1 year ago

          This.

          In accounting, 10 years ago, a huge part of the job was categorising bank transactions according to their description.

          Now AI can kinda do it, but even providers that would have many billions of transactions to use as training data have a very high error rate.

          It’s very difficult for a junior to look at the output and identify which ones are likely to be incorrect.

    • TwilightVulpine@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      They don’t want to train new hires to begin with. A lot of work that new hires relied on to get a foothold on a job is bloat and chores that nobody wants to do. Because they aren’t trusted to take on more responsibility than that yet.

      Arguably whole industries exist around work that isn’t strictly necessary. Does anyone feel like telemarketing is work that is truly necessary for society? But it provides employment to a lot of people. There’s much that will need to change for us to dismiss these roles entirely, but people need to eat every day.

      • CoderKat@lemm.ee
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        1 year ago

        The “not willing to train” thing is one of the biggest problems IMO. But also not a new one. It’s rampant in my field of software dev.

        Most people coming out of university aren’t very qualified. Most have no understanding of how to actually program real world software, because they’ve only ever done university classes where their environments are usually nice and easy (possibly already setup), projects are super tiny, they can actually read all the code in the project (you cannot do that in real projects – there’s far too much code), and usually problems are kept minimal with no red herrings, unclear legacy code, etc.

        Needless to say, most new grads just aren’t that good at programming in a real project. Everyone in the field knows this. As a result, many companies don’t hire new grads. Their advertised “entry level” position is actually more of a mid level position because they don’t want to deal with this painful training period (which takes a lot of their senior devs time!). But it ends up making the field painful to enter. Reddit would constantly have threads from people lamenting that the field must be dying and every time it’s some new grad or junior. IMO it’s because they face this extra barrier. By comparison, senior devs will get daily emails from recruiters asking if they want a job.

        It’s very unsustainable.

  • plutolink@sh.itjust.works
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    1 year ago

    There’s something that a person close to me said about certain tech/features that stuck with me and seems to click here, it was: “A lot of it just stops you from using your brain.”

    • NewBrainWhoThis@lemmy.world
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      Is this not similar to the introduction of calculators in schools? We don’t need to use our brains anymore to do the “mechanical calculation”. Instead we can offload this task to the machine and use our brain for other tasks.

      • plutolink@sh.itjust.works
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        Not exactly. When it comes to calculations that could be super unreasonable and impractical to do by hand (think multiple exponents on a number, or cosine, sine, and tangent as simple examples), they help reduce that tedium in the overall process of what you’re trying to do. There comes a point where it’d be absurd to do certain kinds of math by hand primarily. I’m not largely math-oriented, but even with calculators one could understand the reasoning behind certain concepts despite using a calculator to work through them. People who take calculus can understand it but still use a calculator.

        To have a calculator to do your times tables instead of knowing them, or any basic stuff in the four units would be detrimental I feel, because you’d benefit in knowing those up front, and how to process them mentally.

        • diablexical@lemm.ee
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          Have you used these tools for a complicated project? I’ve played around a little and it didn’t feel like turning off my brain at all, more like working with a genius drone and figuring out how to direct its skills to my ends and constantly evaluating the 10,000 foot view to edge the project forward.

      • dustyData@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        My boy says this as if underpaying and abusing (usually female) office workers to do the boring algebraic and arithmetic for you wasn’t a thing in engineering business and academia before the advent of digital computers.

      • nudny ekscentryk@szmer.info
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        Mathematics is about reasoning. Calculations and arithmetics are merely a little insiginificant part of it. I believe mental math should be encouraged at early stages of education, as it develops cognitive skills, memory and brain plasticity; all research confirm this. Sure, calculating 65*82 is tricky to do in head, but if you understand that this is equivalent to (60+5)(80+2) and work from that then it suddenly becomes approachable for everyone, you just have to reason this out in your mind. My algebra teacher once said something which perhaps translates poorly but let me try to convey what he meant: “A mediocre mathematician seeks analogies between problems, so that they can solve new problems using tools they are already familiar with. However a good mathematician seeks analogies between analogies”. Will you ever require mental math? Probably no, but consider it a workout for your brain, which creates neuroconnections which will later come in helpful when learning new stuff and needing to understand new, complex concepts quickly

  • Kyrgizion@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I consider myself, at best, a medior profile in my industry (IT). ChatGPT with GPT-4 (at least the initial version of it) was completely capable of doing EVERYTHING I need to do daily for my job. And probably faster and with much fewer mistakes.

    That simply tells me it’s a guarantee my job’s gone in a matter of time. Whether that’s one year or five remains to be seen, but it’s inevitable.

    • Shapillon@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Otoh one of my friends is an IT teacher and there are regular issues with students blindly following dumb chatGPT advice.

      Recently, one had removed their fstab directory 🤣

      ChatGPT is very good at giving advice that sounds good but it still has absolutely no understanding about what it says. The quintessential child of a politician and a manager…

    • SCB@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      What if the headline read: “Horseless carriages are crippling stable owners and farriers”

      Would you still hate this timeline?

      • I Cast Fist@programming.dev
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        1 year ago

        “Horseless carriages driven around cities accelerate climatic problems”

        “City growth caused by mass adoption of personal horseless carriages makes pedestrians unable to get anywhere”

        So, yea, that would still be a problem

        • SCB@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          Turns out walkable cities do in fact exist despite those countries phasing out said horseless carriages.

            • SCB@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              I was making a greater metaphorical point that society can and does adapt to new technologies

              • PeepinGoodArgs@reddthat.com
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                1 year ago

                Eh. Society can adapt. But, it doesn’t have to. The Amish are a thing, after all. And so are America’s car-centric cities when high speed rail exists.

                • SCB@lemmy.world
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                  1 year ago

                  I for one can’t wait for the headline “Gen Z increasingly joining Amish, DESTROYING industries”

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        1 year ago

        This is not equivalent. LLMs are not new tools, they’re just the latest parlor trick of old tools. It has more to do with crypto and NFTs than with cars. And with the confidence of hindsight, cars (indirectly via the combustion engine and fossil fuels) absolutely destroyed the planet with anthropogenic climate change. We have every reason to hate this timeline.

  • nudny ekscentryk@szmer.info
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    1 year ago

    I like to compare modern LLM to Excel or calculators in the past. Some years ago a company would have an in-house team of accountants. Then came Excel and now a single accountant can do the job for 10 companies. Let’s now consider programmer: currently a project manager oversees a team of programmers, most of whom are only responsible for mundane work of typing out code. With AI a single worker will be able to perform more productive than that team of programmers, because they will offload the boring work to AI and focus all their attention to what AI is perhaps incapable of.

    What this article is really saying, which I agree with, is that AI improves productivity ,just like perhaps the steam engines did in the 1800’s. But this time the problem is we won’t increase the output and let the workers work more efficiently and earn more money, because it’s not manufacturing jobs which were limited by technology that this is influencing. It’s office jobs, which the economy has a pretty much fixed demand for. Workers will not improve their productivity, they will just be replaced because their work can be offloaded to a machine capable of doing that same jobs better in every significant way.

    • PeepinGoodArgs@reddthat.com
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      1 year ago

      this time the problem is we won’t increase the output and let the workers work more efficiently and earn more money

      I agree with what you’re saying but I just want to contextualize this bit, because you make it seem like technological advances led to increased worker productivity and higher wages.

      It didn’t. It never has.

      The government made it happen because people pressured the government to make it happen. Strikes, riots, and literal bloodshed twisted gilded arms to share the economic gains they were amassing for themselves.

      And so the implication is that, sure, this phase of technological can increase worker productivity, letting the same number of office workers do more, work less, and earn the same amount. In principle, that is entirely possible. In practice, we arrive back where you say office workers will just be replaced.

    • Rednax@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Can you elaborate on the “fixed demand” aspect?

      From what I know as a software engineer, companies would simply make twice as much software, if their software engineers were twice as efficient. There are always requirements pushed out of scope because the complexity of the solution is growing and growing. The ability to make more complex software solutions with the same amount of engineers is not going to result in less engineers, it is just going to cause more complex software products.

      Also note that more engineers has deminishing results due to communication losses. This, along with a fixed supply of engineers seems the biggest limitation to the industry to me.

      • nudny ekscentryk@szmer.info
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        1 year ago

        From what I know as a software engineer, companies would simply make twice as much software, if their software engineers were twice as efficient.

        Only if there’s demand for twice as much software. Otherwise, you make the same software twice as fast and with half as much work. Let’s go back to the example of accountants. Sure, the demand for accounting work may be somewhat increasing, but with productivity per worker increasing orders of magnitude faster than demand, the overall number of accountants shall decrease. A piece of code a junior programmer writes within a week can be obtained immediately with a tool like chatgpt simply by formulating a clear prompt – it’s not like we’re talking about better keyboards which improve your typing speed and therefore increase your productivity by 10% by letting you type code faster, it’s actually orders of magnitude!

        There are always requirements pushed out of scope because the complexity of the solution is growing and growing. The ability to make more complex software solutions with the same amount of engineers is not going to result in less engineers, it is just going to cause more complex software products.

        Again, sure, but wouldn’t you agree the technology will some time reach a point where more complexity is redundant? I would argue it’s sooner than later, see how smartphones and computers keep improving in their performance, but there are no technology breakthroughts anymore. Is infinite growth even possible?

        Also note that more engineers has deminishing results due to communication losses. This, along with a fixed supply of engineers seems the biggest limitation to the industry to me.

        Not sure what you’re getting at here, so let’s go back to your original question: what do I mean by fixed demand of the office jobs.

        Doing accounting faster will not land you more gigs anymore, unless you steal some other accountants’ clients. Writing longer reports will not make your employer require you to write more of them, unless they fire your colleague who does that too. Going through motions and legal documents faster will not magically give you more legal work, unless a different legal counsel changes industry. Unlike manufacturing in the 1800s, the supply and productivity of modern jobs are not limited by technological disadvantages so much, but instead, the demand for this work is corelated with other branches of economy.

        One could argue, in fact it’s an ongoing debate where I’m from (Poland): “yeah sure but when we started switching away from coal then miners were supposed to be off work as well and yet they mostly managed to find previously non-existing jobs in newly created industries and the unemployment remained low”. Right, but in that case one industry was replaced by another, workers’ productivity could be moved to doing something else. This time it’s different, because the jobs don’t change, the demand doesn’t change, instead the supply of labour (via increased, AI-fueled productivity) increases so much, that large part of the workforce is found to be straight up redundant.

  • RagingNerdoholic@lemmy.ca
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    1 year ago

    In an ideal world, people would start receiving better and more fulfilling opportunities when their mundane tasks are automated away. But that’s way too optimistic and the world is way to cynical. What actually happens is they get shitcanned while the capitalists hoard the profits.

    We need a better system. One that, instead of relentlessly churning for the impossibility of infinite growth and funneling wealth upwards, prioritizes personal financial stability and enforces economic equallibrium.

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    1 year ago

    We need to start instituting universal basic income to compensate for the job losses. It’s inevitable. We have to protect the person, not the jobs.

  • manitcor@lemmy.intai.tech
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    1 year ago

    governments need to take seriously what we are looking at in the next 40 years. There IS going to be less work, and less need for it. We can no longer play a game of work = virtue and that you must work to live.

    If we fail to address this we will be complicit in a slow genocide

  • WeaselBoy@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I think AI is a very good example of science advancing much faster than wisdom in society. I think as these large companies continue to implement AI to increase profits while simultaneous driving out the working class, it’s only going to further drive a wedge between the upper and lower class. I foresee a “dark age” of AI characterized by large unemployment and a renewed fight focus on human rights. We might already be seeing the early stages of this in some industries like fast food and with the Hollywood strikes.