Coming off what one pollster called theĀ ābest pollingāĀ of her short campaign, Vice PresidentĀ Kamala HarrisĀ kicks off a new week with another strong showing as she continues to surge ahead ofĀ Donald Trump.
An NBC News poll, which dropped Sunday, reveals Harris has coaxed a double-digit increase in popularity and rising voter enthusiasm that has rocketed her ahead of Trump nationally in the reshuffled the 2024 presidential contest,Ā according to a new national NBC News poll.
Of course, the presidential race is decided by the Electoral College, which means that a handful of states is likely to decide the election.
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if anything, polls from AZ, NC, NV, PA, GA, MI and WI are more meaningful than national numbers
Iāve heard that Kamala needs roughly a 3.5% advantage nationwide to break even in the electoral college. Itās not a direct correlation of course, but it stands as a good indicator.
Itās insane if you think about it though, that we give the republicans 3.5% house odds. Thatās more than we give casinos in blackjack. We donāt even give most one arm bandits that much.
I almost feel there is only one state: Pennsylvania. It seems like itās the lynchpin to victory.