• frezik
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    15
    ·
    10 months ago

    Marquette University has an analysis of the maps that were proposed: https://law.marquette.edu/facultyblog/2024/01/analysis-of-proposed-legislative-redistricting-plans-submitted-to-the-wisconsin-supreme-court/

    The 2022 predicted outcome for those maps is interesting to see. The actual result in the Wisconsin State Assembly was 39D/64R. The Evers maps that are now adopted would have made it 46D/53R–so not a D majority, but the overall vote was 44.6% for D’s, so that’s about what it should be. There were proposals on the table that would have brought that to 35D/64R.

    State Senate is even worse. Currently 10D/22R. These maps would have hypothetically been 16D/17R.

    Democrats aren’t going to win every time with these maps. The state still has blue cities surrounded by red rural. It does keep Republicans away from a veto-proof majority (which they have in the Senate but missed in the Assembly). Also, it gives Democrats a chance if they can get their shit in order for a change.