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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: July 2nd, 2023

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  • From https://highline.huffingtonpost.com/articles/en/everything-you-know-about-obesity-is-wrong/ :

    Since 1959, research has shown that 95 to 98 percent of attempts to lose weight fail and that two-thirds of dieters gain back more than they lost. The reasons are biological and irreversible. As early as 1969, research showed that losing just 3 percent of your body weight resulted in a 17 percent slowdown in your metabolism—a body-wide starvation response that blasts you with hunger hormones and drops your internal temperature until you rise back to your highest weight. Keeping weight off means fighting your body’s energy-regulation system and battling hunger all day, every day, for the rest of your life.

    A 2016 study that followed participants for an average of 19 years found that unfit skinny people were twice as likely to get diabetes as fit fat people. Habits, no matter your size, are what really matter. Dozens of indicators, from vegetable consumption to regular exercise to grip strength, provide a better snapshot of someone’s health than looking at her from across a room.

    The responses you get here will be subject to survivorship bias,

    a form of sampling bias that can lead to overly optimistic beliefs because multiple failures are overlooked, … [It can] lead to the false belief that the successes in a group have some special property, rather than just coincidence


  • This is a very econ 101 take. A similar argument is that if you increase the minimum wage, people will per se lose their jobs because of supply and demand curves. But the empirical evidence doesn’t support that. I don’t think we know for sure why, but increasing the minimum wage has second order effects that seem to counteract this. Similarly, it’s true that if you print money, you increase the supply of money which according to supply and demand means the money will be worth less. Now I don’t think we have as clear empirical evidence that shows this isn’t true, but we do print money all the time. I mean, that’s how government works; congress passes a bill, and the federal reserve supplies (“prints”) the money to fund it. There’s not some bank account somewhere that has to have the money and if it doesn’t we have an overdraft situation. But, if the bill is printing money to support farmers and provides an increase in the food supply, the cost of food relative to the dollar could go down. Now maybe the cost of other things goes up, but the point is that it’s much more complex than “government print money, inflation go up.”

    The argument I’m making here is based on Modern Monetary Theory (maybe I’m doing a bad job of representing it or understanding it), which you should definitely check out if you haven’t.


  • Before the cuts, the IRS generated $0. After the cuts, the IRS will generate $0. Getting rid of the IRS can’t cost the US government any amount of US dollars because the US government has infinite US dollars.

    To be clear, I think it’s a bad idea to cut the IRS. We should be beefing it up and tasking it with going after the rich, because taking money away from rich people is a good thing. But buying into the framing that the US needs to take money from people because it can then spend that money on something else is a mistake, and not just because it’s false. It’s bad politics. Conservatives don’t actually give a shit about government efficiency or fiscal responsibility, they just hate taxes. If it makes the deficit 10x worse they still want to cut taxes however they can. But they are happy to weaponize concern trolling about the debt and deficit to cut government programs that benefit the poor (or prevent such from coming into existence), and liberals are very susceptible to these arguments.







  • aberrate_junior_beatniktoIsraeli Crimes@lemm.eeA Never-Seen Destructive Rage
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    2 months ago

    This feels a bit like nitpicking about the description of the dining hall layout of a post about the titanic sinking, but I don’t get these units. Well, specifically I don’t get the inclusion of hiroshima & nagasaki. The US technically dropped 10 tons of ordinance on those cities; but if you’re looking at the TNT rating, it was about 40 kilotons total.