𝕽𝖚𝖆𝖎𝖉𝖍𝖗𝖎𝖌𝖍

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 𝕽𝖚𝖆𝖎𝖉𝖍𝖗𝖎𝖌𝖍 𝖋𝖊𝖆𝖙𝖍𝖊𝖗𝖘𝖙𝖔𝖓𝖊𝖍𝖆𝖚𝖌𝖍 
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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: August 26th, 2022

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  • He posted an essay on the topic a while back. He gets a lot of shit for getting things wrong using the same data everyone else was using and who also got things wrong; I think the second time, he really started to look into the problems with polling and, in particular, how other predictors were performing.

    He was unfortunately the face of the polling failures in 2016, but he’s a first class statistician. People easily forget part of the reason he was so vilified is because, until 2016, 538 was the reliable source for predictions, which speaks as much to how good he is as the subsequent failures. Something went really wrong with polling in the mid-2010s.







  • I’m not surprised at Helix’s numbers, either. I wish we could sort by Admired; I think the picture would be more interesting.

    Using my newly patented VisualSort, it looks like it’d go:

    1. NeoVim
    2. Visual Studio Code
    3. Rider
    4. DataGrip
    5. IPython
    6. Goland
    7. Vim
    8. Helix … 27 others

    So, in the top 22%. And I think some of the others are cheating & cutting themselves short at the same time, because vim and nvim are fairly indistinguishable, and isn’t Goland based on IntelliJ?

    What’s weird is that I’ve never heard of Rider or DataGrip[^1], yet Kakoune isn’t even on the list.

    Sad to see Netbeans sink so far, though; back in the day, when I was a Java developer, it was my favorite, being far lighter weight than Eclipse and having a really decent WYSIWYG GUI designer. Nobody uses Java for desktop apps anymore, though, do they?

    [^1] Edit: oh. .NET, and SQL. Well, I guess you could consider both to be programming languages if you squint a bit.

    Edit #2: surveys are hard, but I really take exception to their OS survey, which they sum up as “windows is the most popular,” and then they have Linux broken up into 5 major distributions, and then yet another catch-all for “other distribution.” Windows is just “Windows,” not “Windows 11,” “Windows 10,” “Windows XP,” and “other Windows” (although they do break out WSL). And that’s not even counting Android. If you add up all of the Linuxes, it’s more popular than Windows (by this survey).

    Seriously, who wrote this?






  • Plus, there are several studies that have found the opposite, with both better sample sizes and methodology. If I were near my desktop, I could paste them for the terminally lazy, b/c I bookmark most BI articles and studies. I’ll do so if someone challenges me in early August - I’m traveling until then.

    It’s a study. Not a very good one, but even bad ones can be informative. The interpretation leaves a lot to be desired.

    P.S. The Center Square is also questionable. They characterize the study as a “massive study.” It was three-year, 3000-participant study at $1k/m. A total of $108k, over three years. “Massive” is vast exaggeration.