Also, nationwide polls (even the main one on Election Day) are pretty meaningless.
At least the article acknowledges this:
While nationwide surveys give important signals on American support for political candidates, just a handful of competitive states typically tilt the balance in the U.S. electoral college, which ultimately decides who wins a presidential election.
No, they contain relevant information, and they are important. But they only have meaning until tomorrow’s poll comes out. The one in November is the only one that counts.
That’s the definition of meaningless. All these polls ask “if the election were held today…”. It’s not being held today, and everyone acts based on that.
There’s no GOTV push yet, and campaigns structure their spending based on when the actual election is. Voters almost always vote based on something that happens near the election when they are paying attention.
Polls this far out are meaningless.
Also, nationwide polls (even the main one on Election Day) are pretty meaningless.
At least the article acknowledges this:
No, they contain relevant information, and they are important. But they only have meaning until tomorrow’s poll comes out. The one in November is the only one that counts.
That’s the definition of meaningless. All these polls ask “if the election were held today…”. It’s not being held today, and everyone acts based on that.
There’s no GOTV push yet, and campaigns structure their spending based on when the actual election is. Voters almost always vote based on something that happens near the election when they are paying attention.