return2ozma@lemmy.world to Asklemmy@lemmy.ml · 2 个月前What's your prediction for the 2024 US election?message-squaremessage-square87fedilinkarrow-up147arrow-down118file-text
arrow-up129arrow-down1message-squareWhat's your prediction for the 2024 US election?return2ozma@lemmy.world to Asklemmy@lemmy.ml · 2 个月前message-square87fedilinkfile-text
minus-squareAdramislinkfedilinkarrow-up2·edit-22 个月前Maybe I’m crazy, but I feel like gamblers have a heavy right lean. Edit - Oops: https://midwest.social/post/18205923?scrollToComments=true
minus-squarePolandIsAStateOfMind@lemmy.mllinkfedilinkarrow-up3·edit-22 个月前You’re not wrong, it’s because leftists are generally more critical of gambling.
minus-squareDessalines@lemmy.mllinkfedilinkarrow-up2arrow-down1·2 个月前Gamblers don’t always get it right, but this page has some interesting history: https://electionbettingodds.com/about.html Gamblers, polls, and the NYT’s most sophisticated prediction algorithms all got it very wrong in 2016, and severely overestimating hillary and underestimating trump. But of those three, the prediction markets were the least wrong.
Maybe I’m crazy, but I feel like gamblers have a heavy right lean.
Edit - Oops: https://midwest.social/post/18205923?scrollToComments=true
You’re not wrong, it’s because leftists are generally more critical of gambling.
Gamblers don’t always get it right, but this page has some interesting history: https://electionbettingodds.com/about.html
Gamblers, polls, and the NYT’s most sophisticated prediction algorithms all got it very wrong in 2016, and severely overestimating hillary and underestimating trump. But of those three, the prediction markets were the least wrong.